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2024-12-13 11:48:21

Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.STOXX Europe 600 Index rose by 0.25% after the US CPI data was released.The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.


After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.After the US CPI was released, spot gold rose by $5 to $2,696.66 per ounce.


The Prime Minister of Qatar and the Spanish Foreign Minister called to emphasize the need to safeguard Syrian national unity. On December 11th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar called the Spanish Foreign Minister Alvarez. Apart from bilateral relations, the two sides focused on the situation in Syria. The two sides stressed the need to safeguard Syria's national unity, promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254, and all parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and combat terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in Gaza.Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.

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